Gallup today issued new polling data that show American Jews still firmly behind President Barack Obama. Gallup found:
Gallup Daily tracking from June 1-July 26 finds Jewish registered voters favoring Obama over Romney by 68% to 25%.
Gallup noted:
Although one goal of Romney’s Israel visit could be to attract greater support among Jewish voters in the U.S., Jewish Americans have been a traditionally strong Democratic group, so they are unlikely to become much more supportive of Romney regardless of the outcome of the trip.
According to Chemi Shalev writing in Israel’s Haaretz:
In any case, the poll shows that until now, the Republican campaign against Obama’s attitude toward Israel has achieved only modest results and Romney has his work cut out for him if he is seeking to change the equation in Israel. With 68% of the vote and 7% undecided, Obama seems to be on track to coming close to his 2008 levels of support among Jewish voters, which was estimated to be about 75%.
If we take away the undecided voters in the Gallup survey, Jewish voters break 73/27 for Obama.
A recent report by the non-partisan Solomon Project found retroactively that Obama received 74% of the Jewish vote in 2008.
Last month, Gallup found that Obama led Romney 64%/29%. But if we compare it to Gallup’s data from June 2011, this poll shows a significant increase in Jewish support for the President. Further, if we compare this to the Gallup data from June 2008, Obama is doing better this year over Romney than he did against John McCain in 2008.
One thing is clear from this trend in the polling data: the more American Jews get to know Mitt Romney, the less they like him and the more they support Obama.
It doesn’t help much that Romney’s church engages in posthumous conversions of Jews to Mormonism, including martyred Holocaust dead. Will he denounce this or apologize for this? Not holding our collective breath.